Sinocare(SZ:300298) Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-10-27 15:36Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's operations are stable and improving, although profits are temporarily pressured by patent licensing fees [4] - The company is a leader in the blood glucose monitoring industry, with rapid growth in new product CGM revenue and successful overseas expansion [6] Financial Summary - For 2023, the company is expected to achieve a revenue of 4,059 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 44.26% [5] - The projected revenue for 2024 and 2025 is 4,443 million RMB and 4,927 million RMB, respectively, with growth rates of 9.47% and 10.89% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is forecasted at 284 million RMB, with a significant decline of 34% year-on-year [5] - The net profit for 2024 and 2025 is expected to be 326 million RMB and 303 million RMB, reflecting growth rates of 14.73% and a decline of 7.17% [5] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is projected at 0.51 RMB, with a slight increase to 0.58 RMB in 2024 and a decrease to 0.54 RMB in 2025 [5] Market Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3,450 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 8.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 210 million RMB, down 17.4% year-on-year [6] - The third quarter alone saw a revenue of 1,190 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 13.4%, but the net profit dropped significantly by 47.5% to 30 million RMB [6] - The decline in profit for Q3 was primarily due to the impact of patent licensing fees from Roche, which affected the net profit by approximately 140 million RMB [6] Profitability and Valuation - The company's gross margin for Q3 was 43.3%, down 12.1 percentage points year-on-year, but remained stable when excluding the impact of Roche's patent fees [6] - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025 and 2026 are 35.42 and 21.07, respectively, indicating a potential for valuation improvement [5][6]