Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1-Q3 reached 6.08 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 6.2%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 270 million RMB, a decrease of 2.1% year-over-year [1][5] - Q3 revenue was 2.04 billion RMB, up 1.5% year-over-year, but net profit decreased by 23.3% to 80 million RMB, primarily due to U.S. tariffs and a shift to a VC model [1][2] - The company is expected to see improved revenue growth and profitability in 2026 as tariff risks ease and overseas supply chain layouts become effective [1][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 60.8 billion RMB, with a net profit of 2.7 billion RMB and a non-GAAP net profit of 2.9 billion RMB [1] - In Q3, the gross margin was 35.2%, down 0.3 percentage points year-over-year but improved by 0.7 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [3] - The net profit margin for Q3 was 4.0%, a decrease of 1.3 percentage points year-over-year [3] Market Dynamics - The revenue growth in Q3 was impacted by U.S. tariffs and a reduction in domestic shipments of certain categories [2] - The company is diversifying its regional and channel layouts, with expectations for strong growth in non-U.S. markets and other B2C platforms [2] Strategic Initiatives - A new stock incentive plan was announced, with revenue growth targets set at no less than 11.0% for 2025, 38.7% for 2026, and 59.5% for 2027 [4] - The company aims to enhance its supply chain and logistics, particularly through increased shipments from Southeast Asia to the U.S. [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted downwards by 3% to 90 billion RMB, 114 billion RMB, and 137 billion RMB respectively [5] - The net profit estimates for the same period have also been cautiously reduced by 3% to 3.8 billion RMB, 5.2 billion RMB, and 6.8 billion RMB [5] - The target price for the company is set at 23.29 RMB, based on a 2026 PE ratio of 18x [5]
致欧科技（301376）：Q3业绩增速放缓，海外产能布局有望显效