Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of RMB 102.34 per share [1][10][22]. Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 121% year-on-year for the first nine months of 2025, achieving RMB 166 million in revenue and RMB 22 million in net profit, indicating a turnaround from losses [6][10]. - The decline in gross margin in Q3 2025 is attributed to price reductions for high-speed line modules due to customer demands, despite a year-on-year increase in gross margin [8][10]. - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for high-speed line modules, particularly from major internet and server manufacturers, as it transitions from a "one to ten" growth phase [7][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, the company is projected to generate revenue of RMB 1,092 million, with a year-on-year growth of 20.83%. By 2025, revenue is expected to reach RMB 2,470 million, reflecting a growth of 126.24% [5][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be RMB 343.55 million in 2025, a significant increase from a loss of RMB 17.75 million in 2024 [5][10]. Gross Margin and Cost Management - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 26.60%, showing a year-on-year increase of 14 percentage points but a decline of 9 percentage points from the previous quarter due to pricing pressures [8][10]. - The company has seen a reduction in expense ratios due to scale effects, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios improving year-on-year [8][10]. Growth Strategy - The company plans to raise RMB 388 million to expand its production capacity for high-speed line modules, aiming to enhance the production capability of its 112Gbps products and introduce new products to meet next-generation GPU interconnect needs [9][10]. - The company is focusing on both mass production and innovation to capture market share, particularly in the high-speed line module segment [7][10]. Valuation and Market Position - The company is expected to achieve net profits of RMB 3.44 billion, RMB 7.83 billion, and RMB 11.49 billion in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with adjustments made to gross margin expectations due to strong bargaining power of major clients [10][20]. - The valuation approach includes a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) analysis, with a target market capitalization of RMB 471.77 billion, corresponding to a target price of RMB 102.34 per share [22][10].
华丰科技（688629）：Q3毛利率承压，等待国产超节点放量