华菱钢铁（000932）：季度业绩同比回升，后续有望持续高增

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has shown a significant recovery in quarterly performance, with a net profit of 7.62 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 73.22% [2] - The company is focusing on product iteration and optimization, with a 68.5% share of specialty steel in sales, an increase of 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio, proposing a cash dividend of 1.0 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 690.61 million yuan, which is 33.99% of the net profit for 2024 [4] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 94.598 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.96% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.51 billion yuan, an increase of 41.72% [1] - The average sales gross margin for Q4 2024 to Q3 2025 is projected to be 6.37%, 9.08%, 10.57%, and 9.81%, respectively, with net profit margins of 1.39%, 2.77%, 4.52%, and 3.31% [2] - The company’s revenue for 2025 is estimated at 142.369 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -1.2% [5] Product Development - The company has developed 75 new products, achieving six domestic firsts or import substitutions, with high-strength galvanized product sales reaching 259,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 97.7% [3] - The company is investing in projects to enhance product quality and expand specifications, including a 470.43 million yuan project for upgrading industrial wire rods [3] Dividend Policy - The company plans to repurchase shares worth between 200 million and 400 million yuan, which will account for 43.83% to 53.68% of the net profit for 2024 [4]