久立特材(002318):季度业绩持续改善,高增趋势有望延续

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company has shown continuous improvement in quarterly performance, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 36.45% and a net profit increase of 20.73% for the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - High-end products are contributing significantly to revenue, with a 15.42% increase in sales for high-value products, which accounted for approximately 20% of total revenue in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company is expected to achieve substantial sales growth in 2025, with a target of approximately 190,000 tons of industrial finished steel pipes, reflecting a 23.7% increase compared to 2024 [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 9.747 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.262 billion yuan, with basic earnings per share of 1.33 yuan [1] - The quarterly net profit for 2025Q3 was 433 million yuan, showing an 8.29% year-on-year increase [1] - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 11.424 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.6% [4] Product Development - The revenue from high-value, high-tech products reached 1.22 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a significant growth in composite pipe products by 219.26% [2] - The company has ongoing projects that are expected to enhance production capacity, including a high-performance pipe project that will add 20,000 tons of capacity [3] Market Outlook - The company is focusing on high-end stainless steel pipe manufacturing, with an optimistic outlook for continued growth in production and sales driven by strong downstream demand [3] - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated to be 1.73 billion yuan, 1.94 billion yuan, and 2.17 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios decreasing from 14.8 to 11.8 [3]