Jovo Energy(SH:605090) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-28 04:52Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company is expanding its resource pool by planning to invest in a coal-to-gas project, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge and profitability [4]. - The company's three main businesses are developing rapidly, and the synergy among them is significant, leading to increasing competitive barriers [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 15.608 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.241 billion yuan, down 19.13% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.154 billion yuan, a decline of 4.44% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 5.180 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.39%, and a net profit of 380 million yuan, down 11.29% year-on-year [2]. Business Segments - LNG operations are stable, with a domestic average ex-factory price of 4,222 yuan/ton in Q3 2025, down 13.94% year-on-year. Despite a decrease in LNG spot trading volume, terminal user sales remained stable [3]. - The LPG segment is expected to see increased volume due to the completion of maintenance at the Guangzhou Huakai receiving station and the end of extreme weather impacts [3]. Future Outlook - The company plans to invest up to 3.455 billion yuan in a coal-to-natural gas project in Xinjiang, which is projected to produce 4 billion cubic meters of gas annually, with an expected annual profit of approximately 1.477 billion yuan and an internal rate of return of 8.2% [4]. - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.730 billion yuan, 1.989 billion yuan, and 2.271 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.49 yuan, 2.86 yuan, and 3.27 yuan [4][6].