BNBMPLC(SZ:000786) Guotou Securities·2025-10-28 05:04Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 29.54 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 23.65 CNY as of October 27, 2025 [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 19.905 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.586 billion CNY, down 17.77% year-on-year. The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to a decrease in demand in the gypsum board, waterproofing, and coating sectors [1][2]. - The company is actively pursuing overseas expansion, including a potential acquisition of a foreign building materials company, which aligns with its strategic focus on Southeast Asia, Central Asia, Africa, Europe, and the Mediterranean region [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.347 billion CNY, a decline of 6.20% year-on-year, and a net profit of 657 million CNY, down 29.47% year-on-year. The revenue growth rates for Q1, Q2, and Q3 were 5.09%, -4.46%, and -6.20%, respectively [1]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 29.53%, a decrease of 1.12 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to intense market competition and rising costs [2]. - The operating cash flow for the period was a net inflow of 1.539 billion CNY, a decrease of 43.13% year-on-year, mainly due to reduced cash receipts from sales compared to the previous year [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on international expansion, with a strategic plan to enhance its presence in various global markets. The Thai gypsum board production line has entered trial production, and the project in Bosnia is progressing smoothly [3]. - The company aims to leverage its strong acquisition and integration capabilities as a state-owned enterprise to enhance its international brand influence and open up growth opportunities abroad [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to generate revenues of 25.922 billion CNY, 27.810 billion CNY, and 29.709 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.39%, 7.29%, and 6.83%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 3.208 billion CNY, 3.588 billion CNY, and 3.961 billion CNY for the same years, with corresponding growth rates of -12.04%, 11.84%, and 10.40% [8][9].