Workflow
步步高(002251):业绩点评:改革稳步进行,业绩逐渐释放

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.065 billion RMB in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 30.74%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 98.81% to 25 million RMB [2]. - The decline in net profit is attributed to a significant reduction in restructuring gains compared to the previous year, where the investment income was 2.425 billion RMB [3]. - The company's operational improvements, including store optimization and supply chain efficiency, have led to a substantial increase in supermarket sales [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.065 billion RMB, up 30.74% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 25 million RMB, down 98.81% [2]. Operational Analysis - Revenue growth is primarily driven by various reforms and adjustments, including store restructuring and supply chain enhancements. The efficiency of store operations has significantly improved, particularly in supermarket sales [3]. - The decline in net profit is mainly due to the absence of large restructuring gains that were present in the same period last year [3]. Strategic Developments - The company has completed its Store Adjustment Phase 1.0, resulting in improved sales and employee compensation across multiple areas. The average daily sales per store increased from over 90,000 RMB to 710,000 RMB [4]. - The number of "billion-yuan stores" has increased from 8 to 19 out of the 20 remaining stores, indicating a significant improvement in store performance [4]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 5.061 billion RMB, 6.950 billion RMB, and 8.030 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 47.2%, 37.3%, and 15.5% respectively. The net profit is expected to be 296 million RMB, 339 million RMB, and 504 million RMB, with a notable decrease in 2025 followed by growth in subsequent years [5]. - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected at 51x, 45x, and 30x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5].