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盐津铺子(002847):利润超预期,势能稳健向上

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 14.67% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 4.427 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 22.63% year-on-year to 605 million yuan [6] - The company is focusing on six core product categories and is seeing rapid development through multi-channel and multi-category strategies. The growth momentum is expected to continue, particularly in the konjac product category [6] - The report anticipates that the company's revenue will reach 5.911 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11%, and net profit attributable to shareholders will be 825 million yuan, reflecting a 29% year-on-year increase [6] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company reported revenue of 4.115 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 42%. The projected revenue for 2024 is 5.304 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 29% [2] - The net profit for 2023 was 506 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 68%. The forecast for 2024 is 640 million yuan, with a growth rate of 27% [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 was 2.58 yuan, projected to decrease to 2.35 yuan in 2024, before increasing to 3.02 yuan in 2025 [2] Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q3 2025 were 31.63% and 15.57%, respectively, showing improvements compared to the previous year [6] - The report indicates that the company has effectively managed its costs, with a decrease in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024 [6] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 37.9 in 2023 to 23.3 in 2025, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [2] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 13.3 in 2023 to 9.0 in 2025, reflecting a more attractive valuation over time [2]