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光威复材(300699):军民业务双轮驱动下前景可期
GW COMPOSGW COMPOS(SZ:300699) HTSC·2025-10-28 05:45

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Views - The company has shown a dual-driven growth in military and civilian applications, with expectations for further growth as downstream demand is released [3][4]. - Despite a downward adjustment in profit forecasts due to ongoing pressures in the carbon fiber industry and delivery schedules, the company is still positioned for potential growth [4][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3, the company achieved revenue of 785 million RMB, a year-over-year increase of 5.24% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 23.58%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 145 million RMB, down 41.05% year-over-year but up 26.88% quarter-over-quarter [1][6]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 1.986 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 4.40%, with a net profit of 415 million RMB, down 32.55% year-over-year [1][6]. Business Segments - The carbon fiber segment saw a slight revenue decline, while the carbon beam segment experienced significant improvement due to growth in existing customer business and the acquisition of new clients [2]. - The company is actively exploring new applications in the civilian sector, including PEEK prepreg materials and supporting low-altitude equipment manufacturers with carbon fiber and prepreg materials [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 600 million, 890 million, and 1.05 billion RMB respectively, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 18% in 2025 but a recovery in subsequent years [4]. - The target price for the company is set at 32.10 RMB, based on a 30x PE ratio for 2026, down from a previous target of 36 RMB [4].