三角防务（300775）：产能爬坡完成、盈利质量修复、现金蓄势待发

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has completed its capacity ramp-up, improved profit quality, and is in a strong cash position [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.247 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.51%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 25.64% to 375 million yuan [1] - The gross profit margin improved by 10.68 percentage points to 42.90%, driven by a higher proportion of high-value-added aerospace forgings and a decline in raw material prices [1] - The company’s asset-liability ratio decreased by 8.29 percentage points to 30.02%, indicating a lower leverage level [1] - Operating cash flow has significantly improved, with a net cash flow from operating activities of -39 million yuan, a 93.42% year-on-year narrowing [1] Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 459 million yuan, 571 million yuan, and 596 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 31, 25, and 24 times [1][8] - The total revenue is projected to grow from 1.590 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.585 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 19.04% [1][8] - The company’s net profit margin is expected to improve from 23.91% in 2024 to 23.04% in 2027 [8]