Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][24] Core Views - The company has turned a profit in Q3, with a net profit of 0.25 billion yuan, indicating a recovery from previous losses. The performance in Q4 is expected to improve further due to the upcoming Double 11 sales event [1][3] - The company is currently undergoing a strategic adjustment period, focusing on optimizing operational strategies and improving profitability. The management changes made earlier in the year are starting to show positive results [3][5] - Despite the ongoing adjustments, the company faces short-term revenue pressures, but the growth of new brands like Aikeman is anticipated to create new growth opportunities [3][5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters, the company achieved revenue of 3.464 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.78%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 272 million yuan, down 34.45% year-on-year [1] - In Q3, the gross margin was 70.68%, a decrease of 5.67 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the clearance of long-tail inventory from previous years [2] - The company’s operating cash flow for Q3 was 95 million yuan, a significant improvement from a negative 135 million yuan in the same period last year [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2023: 5.522 billion yuan - 2024: 5.736 billion yuan - 2025: 5.810 billion yuan - 2026: 6.490 billion yuan - 2027: 6.893 billion yuan [4][22] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 757 million yuan - 2024: 503 million yuan - 2025: 580 million yuan - 2026: 685 million yuan - 2027: 768 million yuan [4][22] Key Financial Metrics - The company’s projected PE ratios for the next few years are: - 2025: 34x - 2026: 28x - 2027: 25x [3][4] - The expected ROE for 2025 is 9.0%, with a gradual increase to 10.3% by 2027 [4][22]
贝泰妮（300957）：三季度归母净利润扭亏为盈，期待后续业绩持续改善