PJRC(SH:600395) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-28 07:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Cautious Recommendation" rating for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company reported a net loss of 17.38 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, compared to a net profit of 35.19 million yuan in the same period last year, indicating a significant decline in performance [1]. - The company's coal production increased by 8.74% year-on-year to 7.5186 million tons in the first three quarters of 2025, but the average selling price per ton of coal decreased by 20.33% to 660.6 yuan, leading to a decline in profitability [1][3]. - The company's electricity generation surged by 139.56% year-on-year to 9.3483 billion kWh in the first three quarters of 2025, although the average on-grid electricity price fell by 1.29% [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported a net loss of 12.29 million yuan, compared to a loss of 0.21 million yuan in Q3 2024, indicating a worsening financial situation [1][2]. - The total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 7.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.11% [1]. - The average selling price of coal in Q3 2025 was 685.14 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 11.84% [2]. Production and Sales - In Q3 2025, coal production was 2.3649 million tons, down 3.21% year-on-year and down 20.48% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The external sales volume of coal in Q3 2025 was 1.9004 million tons, a decrease of 22.71% year-on-year and 15.86% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to have net profits of 0.11 billion yuan, 1.13 billion yuan, and 1.81 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.01 yuan, 0.05 yuan, and 0.08 yuan [3][5]. - The report suggests that the company's integrated coal and electricity business model is gradually forming, enhancing its risk resistance capabilities [3].