CAERI(SH:601965) Minsheng Securities·2025-10-28 07:49Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 30.24 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a slight decrease of 0.76% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.66 billion yuan, down 0.56% year-on-year. However, the third quarter of 2025 showed a revenue increase of 6.36% year-on-year and 8.79% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 2.57 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 4.15% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.70% [1][2]. Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved a gross margin of 47.47% in Q3 2025, an increase of 2.19 percentage points year-on-year and 2.28 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The net profit margin was 23.12%, down 2.54 percentage points year-on-year but up 0.60 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The company is focusing on enhancing operational efficiency and has increased its R&D expenditure to meet the demands of automotive enterprises [2][3]. International Expansion and R&D - The establishment of an overseas division aims to support Chinese automotive products in entering international markets by addressing technical service needs during the global expansion of automotive enterprises [3]. - The company has set up an information intelligence division to develop comprehensive testing capabilities in the smart and connected vehicle sector, focusing on safety, experience, and intelligence [3]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 47.78 billion yuan, 54.65 billion yuan, and 63.06 billion yuan, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 9.86 billion yuan, 12.14 billion yuan, and 14.64 billion yuan for the same period, with corresponding EPS of 0.98 yuan, 1.21 yuan, and 1.46 yuan [4][5]. - The report indicates a PE ratio of 17 for 2025, decreasing to 11 by 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation as earnings grow [4][5].