SPM(SH:601900) Guohai Securities·2025-10-28 08:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 2.311 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-over-year decrease of 5.82%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 400 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 73.72% [4][5] - The revenue structure has been optimized, leading to a 27.67% increase in total profit compared to the previous year [5] - The company is expected to maintain stable performance due to its regional advantages and proactive engagement with AI and new business models, with projected revenues of 9.005 billion yuan, 9.033 billion yuan, and 9.065 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][6] Revenue and Profit Analysis - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 6.283 billion yuan, down 3.01% year-over-year, with a gross profit of 2.257 billion yuan, up 2.52% year-over-year, resulting in a gross margin of 35.93%, an increase of 1.94 percentage points [5] - In Q3 2025, the company’s revenue was 2.311 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 867 million yuan, and a gross margin of 37.5%, which is an increase of 3.89 percentage points year-over-year [5] - The decline in revenue is attributed to the reduction of low-margin material business, while the general book publishing business saw a revenue increase of 11.47% year-over-year [5] Financial Forecasts - The company’s net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025 was 851 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 60.73%, with a projected net profit of 1.132 billion yuan, 1.156 billion yuan, and 1.194 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][6] - The report forecasts a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 11 for 2025, decreasing to 10 for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation trend [6][7]