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松原安全(300893):25Q3实现高质量增长,看好公司市占率持续提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 10 months [9][15]. Core Insights - The company achieved high-quality growth in Q3 2025, with revenue of 1.834 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.98%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 263 million yuan, up 37.93% year-on-year [5]. - The company's profitability improved, with a Q3 2025 net profit margin of 14.82%, reflecting a 0.47 percentage point increase from the previous quarter [6]. - The company is expected to see continued growth in market share due to increased sales from major clients like Geely and Chery, which reported significant year-on-year sales increases [7]. - The company is expanding its global operations, with its first overseas factory in Malaysia expected to reach production capacity soon, and plans to enter European and North American markets [8]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 686 million yuan, a 35.39% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 29.08% [6]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 407 million yuan, 543 million yuan, and 721 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 30.5, 22.9, and 17.2 [9][11]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow significantly, with projected revenues of 1.971 billion yuan in 2024, 2.731 billion yuan in 2025, and 4.890 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 53.94%, 38.55%, and 35.22% respectively [11][14].