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燕京啤酒(000729):U8持续高增,公司盈利改善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Insights - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 13.433 billion yuan, an increase of 4.57% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.77 billion yuan, up 37.45% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.685 billion yuan, an increase of 33.59% year-on-year [2][6] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 4.875 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.55%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 668 million yuan, up 26% year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 649 million yuan, an increase of 24.6% year-on-year [2][6] - The company continues to see strong growth in its U8 product line, with sales volume for Q1-Q3 2025 reaching 3.4952 million kiloliters, a year-on-year increase of 1.39%. The average price per ton increased by 3.13% year-on-year during the same period [13] - The company's gross profit margin improved by 2.1 percentage points year-on-year to 47.19% for Q1-Q3 2025, while the net profit margin attributable to shareholders increased by 3.15 percentage points to 13.18% [13] Financial Performance - The company is expected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 0.56 yuan, 0.67 yuan, and 0.77 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 21X, 17X, and 15X [13] - The company has effectively controlled costs, leading to an increase in profitability. The cost per ton decreased by 2.76% year-on-year in Q3 2025, contributing to a gross margin of 50.15% [13] - The company is also preparing to launch its second national product, which is expected to drive future growth [13]