GUIZHOU SANLI(SH:603439) Ping An Securities·2025-10-28 10:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for Guizhou Sanli (603439.SH) with a current stock price of 12.31 yuan [1][10]. Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure, with expectations for gradual release of reform effects in the future [1][8]. - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue at 1.038 billion yuan (down 28.24% year-on-year) and net profit at 81 million yuan (down 58.39% year-on-year) [4][8]. - The company is focusing on strengthening its marketing system and transitioning from a prescription channel-dominated strategy to an OTC channel-focused approach, which is expected to gradually yield results [7][8]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 1.83 billion yuan and a net profit of 168 million yuan, reflecting a downward revision from previous forecasts [6][8]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 68.65%, a decrease of 0.63 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 8.06%, down 5.68 percentage points year-on-year [7][8]. - The company has established a specialized OTC team and is enhancing online channel operations through partnerships with major e-commerce platforms [7][8]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to cultivate a second growth curve through investments in innovative drugs, with over ten innovative drug candidates already in the pipeline [7][8]. - The stock is currently trading at a PE ratio of 29.9 for 2025, indicating potential for improvement as demand for respiratory medications is anticipated to increase in the fourth quarter [8].