ZJJH(SH:600160) Capital Securities·2025-10-28 11:36Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company is benefiting from the continuous rise in refrigerant prices, indicating a sustained high prosperity cycle [5][7] - The company maintains a leading position in the refrigerant market with significant production quotas, capturing a substantial market share [7] - Revenue and net profit forecasts for the company show strong growth, with expected net profits of 45.04 billion, 58.85 billion, and 68.14 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][7] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 203.94 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.89%, and a net profit of 32.48 billion, up 160.22% year-on-year [7] - The company’s revenue growth rates are projected at 18.4% for 2024, 17.9% for 2025, and 9.0% for 2026 [6][8] - The average price of key refrigerants has increased significantly, with R32, R134a, and R125 showing year-on-year price increases of 59.99%, 59.09%, and 46.06% respectively [7] Market Position - The company holds a production quota of 38,900 tons for HCFC-22, accounting for 26.10% of the national total, and a quota of 299,800 tons for HFCs, representing 39.6% of the market [7] - The company’s competitive advantage is reinforced by its comprehensive product range and leading market position [7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the high prosperity of the refrigerant industry, with a maintained "Buy" rating based on its market leadership and growth potential [7]