NJBK(SH:601009) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-28 12:09Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Nanjing Bank with a target price of 13.40 CNY [2][6]. Core Insights - Nanjing Bank is experiencing strong asset expansion and improved interest margins, which significantly support its performance. The volatility in the bond market has limited impact, and profitability continues to enhance [2]. - The bank's net interest income has increased by 29%, and the non-performing loan ratio for personal loans has decreased by 10 basis points [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - Revenue is projected to grow from 45,160 million CNY in 2023 to 61,488 million CNY by 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 7.9% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 18,502 million CNY in 2023 to 27,456 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 11.5% [4]. - Key Financial Ratios: - The bank's net asset value per share is forecasted to increase from 13.34 CNY in 2023 to 17.81 CNY in 2027 [4]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to stabilize around 11.2% by 2027 [4]. Performance Metrics - Interest Income: - Net interest income growth is projected at 28.52%, significantly supporting overall performance [12]. - Fee Income: - Net fee and commission income is expected to grow by 8.52%, with notable performance in agency commissions, which increased by 47.2% year-on-year [12]. - Cost Efficiency: - The cost-to-income ratio has improved, decreasing by 2.0 percentage points to 23.27% [12]. Asset Quality - As of Q3 2025, the non-performing loan ratio stands at 0.83%, with a marginal improvement in retail asset quality [12]. - The bank's provisioning coverage ratio is reported at 313.22%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [12].