Drinda(SZ:002865) Soochow Securities·2025-10-28 12:55Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has diversified its production capacity and maintained a high proportion of overseas sales, which increased from approximately 24% in 2024 to 51% in 2025 [7] - The company is facing short-term profit pressure in its battery segment, but industry improvements are expected as competition stabilizes [7] - The company has a strong cash position with sufficient liquidity, despite experiencing negative operating cash flow in recent quarters [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 18.657 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 60.90%. However, a decline of 46.66% is expected in 2024 [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 815.64 million in 2023, with a significant drop to -591.11 million in 2024, followed by a gradual recovery in subsequent years [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 2.79 in 2023, dropping to -2.02 in 2024, and recovering to 4.36 by 2027 [1] Operational Insights - The company shipped approximately 22GW in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6%, with Q3 shipments estimated at 8.1GW, up 11% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 0.7%, showing a slight improvement from previous quarters [7] - The company is actively investing in technology, with a new battery efficiency improvement project showing promising results [7] Market Positioning - The company is expanding its market presence in India and Turkey, where demand remains strong, and is working on a joint project in Turkey to enhance production capacity [7] - The company is also addressing potential risks related to international trade and tariff policies, particularly concerning its operations in Oman [7]