Sanmei(SH:603379) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-10-28 13:11Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has experienced a significant increase in profits in Q3, with a year-on-year growth of 236.57% in net profit, driven by a recovery in refrigerant prices [5][6] - The report highlights the ongoing upward trend in refrigerant prices, indicating both certainty and potential for growth in the current market [6] - The company’s revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 4.429 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 45.72% [5] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.601 billion yuan, up 60.29% year-on-year, and a net profit of 596 million yuan, up 236.57% year-on-year [5] - The gross margin for Q3 was 52.90%, an increase of 21.82 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin reached 35.67%, up 17.27 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 2.363 billion, 3.366 billion, and 3.933 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.87, 5.51, and 6.44 yuan [5] Market Trends - The sales volume of fluorinated refrigerants, fluorinated foaming agents, and hydrogen fluoride for the first three quarters of 2025 were 95,400, 6,500, and 50,100 tons respectively, with revenues of 3.800 billion, 156 million, and 418 million yuan [6] - The average price of fluorinated refrigerants increased by 56.5% year-on-year, indicating a strong recovery in pricing [6] - The report emphasizes the "just-in-time" consumption nature of HFC refrigerants, suggesting a sustained upward trend in prices and margins [6]