学大教育（000526）：网点扩张致利润承压，收款端明显提速

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company has experienced revenue growth of 16.30% year-on-year, reaching 2.613 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, while net profit increased by 31.52% to 231 million yuan [1] - The expansion of outlets has put pressure on profit margins, with a notable decline in net profit in Q3 2025, attributed to increased teacher labor costs due to expansion [1][3] - The education business is expected to maintain steady growth, with cash collections showing a significant increase, indicating strong revenue growth potential [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 697 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.19%, but net profit fell to 1.43 million yuan, down 89.90% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 27.17%, a decrease of 5.07 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased labor costs from outlet expansion [3] - The company expects to achieve net profits of 250 million, 310 million, and 380 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 40.6%, 23.9%, and 22.7% [4] Business Outlook - The core high school personalized education business is expected to perform well, especially leading up to the college entrance examination, with full-time programs supporting off-peak operations [2] - The company has expanded its personalized learning centers to over 300 and opened 5 full-time schools, with a total student enrollment of nearly 7,500 [3] - The vocational education segment is also deepening its layout, with over 15 vocational schools and partnerships for industry-education integration [4] Market Position - The company is well-positioned in the education sector, benefiting from a favorable competitive landscape post-"double reduction" policy, which has cleared out excess supply [3] - The report highlights the company's strong brand, network scale, and teaching resources as key advantages for future growth [3]