德赛西威(002920):短期业绩承压,看好智驾出海及产业外拓

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure but is expected to benefit from the expansion of intelligent driving and industry outreach [1] - The Q3 2025 revenue was 7.69 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 17.72% for the first three quarters [8] - The company is focusing on expanding its production capacity and global strategy, which is anticipated to support future profitability [1][8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 21.91 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 46.71% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A is projected at 1.55 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.57% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is estimated at 2.59 yuan per share [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025E are 33.38 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 20.87% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025E is forecasted at 2.59 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 29.32% [1] - The P/E ratio for 2025E is expected to be 29.73 [1] Market Data - The closing price is 129.13 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 77.07 billion [6] - The company has a P/B ratio of 4.89 and a total asset-liability ratio of 45.73% [7][6] Strategic Developments - The company is expanding its production lines and facilities, with ongoing construction projects increasing from 4.45 billion at the beginning of the year to 8.20 billion by the end of September [8] - The global strategy is progressing, with new production capacities being established in Indonesia, Mexico, and Spain [8]