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国睿科技(600562):军贸行业系列深度报告之二:内需军贸双轮拉动,雷达业务有望再拓成长边界

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, highlighting its potential for significant growth driven by both domestic demand and military trade [6][7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading radar manufacturer in China, benefiting from two major asset restructurings that expanded its capabilities in microwave and radar technologies [16][19]. - The ongoing increase in national defense spending and the modernization of military equipment are expected to drive demand for the company's radar products, particularly in the military sector [37][41]. - The company has a diversified product portfolio that includes military and civilian radar systems, industrial software, and smart transportation solutions, which collectively support its revenue growth [25][27]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 3,400 million yuan in 2024 to 5,441 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.5% [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 630 million yuan in 2024 to 1,153 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 26.3% [2]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.51 yuan in 2024 to 0.93 yuan in 2027 [2]. Business Segments - Radar Equipment and Related Systems: This segment is the core of the company's operations, contributing significantly to revenue and profit margins. The company has seen a steady increase in the delivery of radar systems, which has positively impacted its financial performance [27][29]. - Industrial Software and Smart Manufacturing: The company is expanding its footprint in the industrial software sector, with expected revenue growth from 4.20 million yuan in 2025 to 5.74 million yuan in 2027 [9]. - Smart Transportation: The company’s smart transportation solutions are being implemented in various urban rail projects, although revenue growth in this segment is projected to decline due to market conditions [8]. Market Opportunities - The military trade sector is experiencing a historical opportunity for growth, driven by global increases in military spending and the company's enhanced product offerings [6][10]. - The demand for civilian radar systems, particularly in meteorology and air traffic control, is expected to further bolster the company's revenue streams [4][21]. Competitive Positioning - The company is backed by the China Electronics Technology Group Corporation's 14th Research Institute, providing it with a strong technological foundation and competitive edge in radar technology [19][25]. - The report compares the company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratios favorably against peers, indicating potential undervaluation and room for growth [7][10].