SHUANGHUI(SZ:000895) Guoxin Securities·2025-10-28 15:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7][24]. Core Views - The company has shown a year-on-year increase in net profit for Q3, benefiting from a decrease in pork costs. The total revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 increased by 1.23% to 446.53 billion yuan, with net profit rising by 4.05% to 39.59 billion yuan. The total external sales volume of meat products reached 2.4885 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.92% [2][10]. - The company is implementing a professional sales team reform to enhance market operations and plans to increase market support in the second half of the year, focusing on promoting high-cost performance products [2][4]. - The company is expanding into the prepared food sector, having established a dedicated team for product development, which is expected to contribute positively to performance [4][24]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the gross margin decreased by 0.05 percentage points to 18.18%, while the net margin increased by 0.22 percentage points to 8.99%. The sales expense ratio rose by 0.24 percentage points to 3.51%, while management and R&D expense ratios decreased by 0.11 percentage points to 2.42% [3][21]. - The operating cash flow for Q1-Q3 2025 decreased by 13.3% to 5.995 billion yuan, accounting for 13.47% of total revenue [23]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 5.305 billion yuan, 5.606 billion yuan, and 5.878 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16.4, 15.5, and 14.8 [5][24]. - Revenue is expected to grow slightly, with projections of 60.304 billion yuan for 2025, 61.409 billion yuan for 2026, and 62.264 billion yuan for 2027 [5][27]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is recognized as a leader in the domestic slaughtering industry and maintains a high cash dividend policy. The focus on high-cost performance products and the expansion into new business areas like prepared foods are expected to enhance profitability [4][24].