Bank of Chengdu(SH:601838) EBSCN·2025-10-29 03:09Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Chengdu Bank (601838.SH) with a current price of 18.11 CNY [1]. Core Views - Chengdu Bank's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 17.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 9.5 billion CNY, up 5% year-on-year [2]. - The bank's return on average equity (ROAE) stands at 15.2%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.4 percentage points [2]. - The bank's performance shows resilience in profit growth despite a slowdown in revenue and profit growth rates compared to the first half of the year [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Chengdu Bank's revenue, pre-provision profit, and net profit growth rates for the first three quarters of 2025 were 3%, 2.4%, and 5% respectively, indicating a decline in growth rates compared to the first half of the year [3]. - Net interest income and non-interest income growth rates were 8.2% and -16.5% respectively, with non-interest income showing a significant negative growth [3]. Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of Q3 2025, Chengdu Bank's interest-earning assets and loans grew by 13.9% and 17.4% year-on-year, indicating a steady expansion in scale [4]. - The bank's corporate loans showed strong growth, while retail loans faced pressure, with corporate loans growing at 19% year-on-year [4]. Liability and Deposit Trends - The growth rate of interest-bearing liabilities and deposits was 11.4% and 12.6% respectively, showing a slight slowdown compared to the previous quarter [5]. - The trend towards more fixed-term deposits continues, with a significant increase in the proportion of fixed-term deposits [5]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income for the first three quarters was 3.04 billion CNY, down 16.5% year-on-year, with a notable decline in net fee and commission income [6]. - The bank's other non-interest income also decreased by 13% year-on-year, affected by fluctuations in the bond market [7]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - Chengdu Bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 0.68% at the end of Q3 2025, indicating stable asset quality [7]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio remains high at 433.1%, reflecting strong risk absorption capacity [8]. Capital Adequacy - As of the end of Q3 2025, the bank's core tier 1 capital ratio, tier 1 capital ratio, and total capital ratio were 8.77%, 10.52%, and 14.39% respectively, showing an increase from the previous quarter [8]. - The issuance of 11 billion CNY in perpetual bonds has effectively supplemented the bank's capital [8]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Chengdu Bank is expected to benefit from strategic opportunities in the Chengdu metropolitan area, with EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 at 3.16, 3.27, and 3.35 CNY respectively [9]. - The current stock price corresponds to PB valuations of 0.86, 0.77, and 0.70 for 2025-2027, and PE valuations of 5.73, 5.53, and 5.41 [9].