HAI TIAN(SH:603288) Huachuang Securities·2025-10-29 03:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of outperforming the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [4][22]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 21.628 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.02%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.322 billion yuan, up 10.54% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.398 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.48%, and a net profit of 1.408 billion yuan, up 3.40% year-on-year [1]. - Despite weak external demand, the company continues to capture market share from competitors and is focused on developing new products, maintaining a steady growth trajectory [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024A, total revenue is projected at 26.901 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.5%. The net profit is expected to be 6.344 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 12.8% [3]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025E is forecasted at 1.21 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32 times [3][4]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 39.6%, an increase of 3.0 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to lower raw material costs and improved production efficiency [7]. Market and Product Insights - The company’s condiment business grew by 4.53% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with soy sauce, oyster sauce, and seasoning sauce revenues increasing by 4.98%, 1.99%, and 3.50% respectively [7]. - Online sales showed significant growth, increasing by 19.76% year-on-year, while offline sales grew by 3.59% [7]. - The company added 45 new distributors in Q3, bringing the total to 6,726, indicating a slight increase in distribution capacity [7]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth for the full year of 2025, with profit performance anticipated to be even better due to ongoing cost advantages [7]. - An employee stock ownership plan was launched in September, with performance targets set for a compound annual growth rate of no less than 11% in net profit from 2024 to 2026, reflecting the company's confidence in sustained growth [7].