巨人网络(002558):Q3《超自然》强劲推高递延收入
Giant NetworkGiant Network(SZ:002558) HTSC·2025-10-29 04:00

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 48.54 [1]. Core Insights - The company reported strong Q3 results with revenue of RMB 1.706 billion, a year-over-year increase of 115.63% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 81.83%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 640 million, up 81.19% year-over-year and 49.07% quarter-over-quarter [1]. - The deferred revenue from the game "Supernatural" is expected to continue growing, alongside the company's ongoing AI game initiatives [1]. - The management has shifted focus towards attracting younger talent, which is anticipated to inject vitality into the company [2]. Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of RMB 3.368 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 51.84%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 1.417 billion, up 32.31% year-over-year [1]. - The company’s Q3 gross margin was stable at 90.46%, with a slight increase of 0.64 percentage points. The sales expense ratio rose to 36.65%, an increase of 1.41 percentage points [4]. Product Development and Market Position - The company has a rich pipeline of new products, including the strategy card game "Ming Jiang Sha" and the SLG game "Five Thousand Years," which are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [3]. - Existing products like the "Journey" series and "Ball Battle" continue to perform well, with the latter expanding its user base through platforms like Douyin and WeChat [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025 is maintained at RMB 2.26 billion, with upward adjustments for 2026 and 2027 to RMB 4.08 billion and RMB 5.07 billion, respectively [5]. - The target price has been adjusted to RMB 48.54, reflecting a 23X PE for 2026, based on the company's strong product performance and integration of AI [5].