瑞丰银行(601528):息差环比改善、拨备继续抬升,期待小微景气回暖

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ruifeng Bank (601528) [1] Core Views - The bank's performance in the third quarter of 2025 shows a stable growth in profits despite external pressures, with a year-on-year increase in net profit of 5.8% [4][6] - The net interest income has shown a significant recovery, contributing positively to revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [6][8] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains stable at 0.98%, with a provision coverage ratio improving to 345% [4][8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For 2025, the total revenue is projected to be 4,437.70 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.20% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 2,021.95 million, reflecting a growth rate of 5.22% [5] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to be 10.22% for 2025 [5] Performance Analysis - The bank's revenue for the first nine months of 2025 is 33.6 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 1.0% [4] - The interest margin for the first nine months of 2025 is reported at 1.49%, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 3 basis points but a quarter-on-quarter increase [8] - The bank's loan growth has slowed to 6.8% in the third quarter of 2025, down from 10.3% in the second quarter [6][9] Strategic Outlook - The management's focus on sustainable profit growth is evident, with strategies in place to enhance revenue from small and micro enterprises [6][8] - The report highlights the importance of stabilizing interest margins and managing costs effectively to support future growth [8] - The bank is expected to benefit from government subsidies for small enterprises, with approximately 50 million remaining to be confirmed in the fourth quarter [6]