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南京银行(601009):2025年三季度业绩点评:利息收入29%高增长,资产质量指标做实

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Nanjing Bank [9]. Core Views - Nanjing Bank's revenue and asset quality continue to show a dual U-shaped improvement trend, with a year-on-year revenue growth rate of 8.8% for the first three quarters of 2025, and a quarterly growth rate of 9.1% in Q3. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 8.1% year-on-year, with a quarterly growth of 6.3% in Q3. The bank's corporate loans grew significantly by 14.6%, driving credit expansion, and it is expected that the annual credit growth will maintain around 15% [2][6][12]. - The bank has the highest proportion of fixed deposits among comparable peers, indicating significant room for improvement in liability costs during the current deposit rate reduction cycle. The non-performing loan ratio decreased by 1 basis point to 0.83% in Q3, while the provision coverage ratio increased by 2 percentage points to 313%, reflecting an optimization in asset quality indicators. Major shareholders, including state-owned and foreign investors, have continuously increased their holdings, highlighting the bank's long-term development value [2][12][28]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Nanjing Bank's net interest income grew by 28.5% year-on-year, with a substantial quarterly increase of 40.5% in Q3. Non-interest income, however, declined by 11.6%, with fee income growing by 8.5% but investment income dropping by 16.2% due to market conditions [12][28]. Asset Quality - The bank's asset quality indicators have improved, with the non-performing loan ratio stable at 0.83% compared to the beginning of the year. The retail loan non-performing ratio decreased significantly by 10 basis points to 1.33% [12][28]. Loan and Deposit Growth - Total assets grew by 14.3% year-to-date, with loans increasing by 12.3%, primarily driven by a 14.6% growth in corporate loans. Retail loans saw a modest increase of 3.2%. Total liabilities also rose by 14.5%, with deposits growing by 9.7% [12][28]. Interest Margin - The bank's net interest margin improved by 9 basis points to 1.43%, supported by a reduction in liability costs. The proportion of fixed deposits is notably high at 79%, providing a buffer against interest margin pressures [12][28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the revenue growth and asset quality improvement trends will continue, with stable performance expected in the coming year. The bank's core tier one capital adequacy ratio has improved to 9.5%, and the expected dividend yield for 2025 is 4.7% [12][28].