成都银行(601838):2025年三季报点评:规模保持较快扩张,营收利润双稳健

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Neutral" [6] Core Views - The company maintains a stable performance with rapid expansion in scale, achieving revenue and net profit of 17.76 billion yuan and 9.49 billion yuan respectively in the first three quarters of 2025, with year-on-year growth of 3.01% and 5.03% [1][4] - The annualized weighted ROE for the first three quarters of 2025 is 15.20%, which is a decline of 2.35 percentage points year-on-year but still above the industry average [1] - The growth in performance is primarily attributed to the drag from net interest margin and non-interest income, although the company maintains a significantly higher asset growth rate compared to the industry average [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total asset growth of 13.4%, exceeding 1.38 trillion yuan by the end of September [2] - Loans (excluding accrued interest) increased by 17.4% to 846.2 billion yuan, with a total of 104.9 billion yuan in new credit issued [2] - The net interest income for the first three quarters grew by 8.2% to 14.725 billion yuan, while non-interest income decreased by 16.5% to 3.036 billion yuan [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio as of September is 0.68%, which is a slight increase of 2 basis points from June but remains at a low level [3] - The provision coverage ratio is 433.08%, down 19.57 percentage points from June, but still maintains a high level [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 14 billion yuan, 15.1 billion yuan, and 16.2 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.8%, 7.6%, and 7.7% respectively [4][5] - The diluted EPS is projected to be 3.29 yuan, 3.54 yuan, and 3.82 yuan for the same period, with corresponding PE ratios of 5.6, 5.2, and 4.8 [4][5]