IMDTECL(SZ:002128) Changjiang Securities·2025-10-29 08:45Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.118 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 282 million yuan (-6.4%). In Q3 2025, the net profit was 1.331 billion yuan, down 124 million yuan year-on-year (-8.5%) but up 104 million yuan quarter-on-quarter (+8.5%). The performance in Q3 2025 met expectations, with the quarter-on-quarter improvement mainly driven by the release of coal production and an increase in aluminum prices [2][6][12]. - Looking ahead, the company has ongoing projects in wind and electrolytic aluminum production, and there are plans to inject the Baiyinhu Coal Power project, which has a coal production capacity of 15 million tons, a thermal power installed capacity of 2.62 million kilowatts, and an electrolytic aluminum capacity of 40.53 thousand tons. If this injection occurs, the company's future growth potential is significant [2][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 4.118 billion yuan, a decrease of 282 million yuan (-6.4%) year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the net profit was 1.331 billion yuan, down 124 million yuan (-8.5%) year-on-year but up 104 million yuan (+8.5%) quarter-on-quarter [2][6]. - The Q3 performance was supported by stable coal prices due to production checks and an increase in aluminum prices, with the average domestic electrolytic aluminum price at 20,711 yuan/ton, up 516 yuan/ton (+2.6%) quarter-on-quarter and up 1,149 yuan/ton (+5.9%) year-on-year [12]. Future Outlook - The company has ongoing construction of wind and electrolytic aluminum capacity, and the potential injection of the Baiyinhu Coal Power project could significantly enhance future earnings growth. The projected cash dividend ratio for 2024 is 35.67%, with an estimated dividend yield of 3.7% based on a projected annual profit of 5.7 billion yuan for 2025 [12]. - Earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 are 5.7 billion, 6.3 billion, and 6.3 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 9.59, 8.69, and 8.65 times [12].