Winning Health(SZ:300253) HTSC·2025-10-29 08:50Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" [7][13]. Core Views - The company is expected to recover revenue growth in the fourth quarter of 2025, despite facing short-term challenges due to project delays and cost pressures [1][3]. - The long-term competitive advantage of the company in the medical IT industry is viewed positively, with expectations for improved product competitiveness and delivery efficiency [1][4]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.296 billion RMB, a year-on-year decline of 32.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -241 million RMB, down 256.10% [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 29.07%, a decrease of 11.97 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased implementation costs from project delays [2]. - The cash received from sales and services was 1.762 billion RMB, a decline of 2.27% year-on-year, indicating improved cash flow compared to revenue [2]. Business Segments - The medical health information business generated revenue of 1.191 billion RMB, down 25.71% year-on-year, with core software sales and technical services contributing 1.098 billion RMB, a decrease of 22.78% [3]. - The internet healthcare business saw revenue drop to 105 million RMB, a decline of 66.24% [3]. Product Development - The WiNEX 2025 version upgrade enhances the core system for digital hospitals, adding over 2,500 new features, with AI capabilities accounting for 15% [4]. - The company aims to streamline user habits and business processes, reducing implementation time by 50% and lowering total cost of ownership by approximately 20% [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards to 20 million RMB, 331 million RMB, and 502 million RMB, reflecting a significant decrease in expected profitability [5][14]. - The target price for the company is set at 10.46 RMB, based on a 70.0x PE ratio for 2026, which is an adjustment from the previous target of 14.34 RMB [5].