阳光电源（300274）：储能出海与AIDC落地前景向好

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 198.63 per share, based on a 2026E PE of 21.45x [7][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 22.869 billion in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 21% and a net profit of RMB 4.147 billion, reflecting a 57% increase year-on-year [2][13]. - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily driven by the increase in high-margin inverter and energy storage shipments overseas, indicating a positive outlook for the company's core business expansion [2][3]. - The energy storage segment achieved a revenue of RMB 28.8 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a 105% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of 39.92% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 22.869 billion, with a net profit of RMB 4.147 billion, marking a 57% increase year-on-year [2][13]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached RMB 66.402 billion, up 33% year-on-year, and net profit was RMB 11.881 billion, up 56% year-on-year [2][13]. Business Segments - The energy storage business generated RMB 28.8 billion in revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, with a gross margin of 39.92%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points from the previous year [2][4]. - The company shipped approximately 29 GWh of energy storage products in the first three quarters of 2025, with over 80% of shipments being overseas, contributing to high profitability [2][4]. Market Outlook - The global energy storage market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 44.5% from 2024 to 2030, with new installations projected to reach 1556 GWh per year by 2030 [3]. - The U.S. market is anticipated to see a significant increase in energy storage demand driven by AI data centers and interest rate cuts, with an expected annual addition of 55-102 GWh of storage capacity [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is expanding its AIDC (AI Data Center) business, which is expected to enhance growth potential, with plans for product rollout and small-scale delivery by 2026 [4][5]. - The AIDC market is projected to reach RMB 460 billion, potentially contributing over RMB 40 billion in revenue to the company by 2030 [4].