Lier Chemical (SZ:002258) NORTHEAST SECURITIES·2025-10-29 08:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% within the next six months [8][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.709 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 29.31%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 381 million yuan, up 189.07% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.202 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.48%, despite a quarter-on-quarter decline of 9.03%. The net profit for the same period was 111 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 183.98% [1]. - The company has shown resilience in profitability during the traditional off-season for the agricultural pesticide industry, with core products experiencing price declines but still managing to improve profit margins [1][2]. - The company is the largest producer of chlorinated pyridine herbicides and has ongoing projects that are expected to enhance its profitability in the future [2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 7.921 billion yuan, 9.173 billion yuan, and 10.426 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 510 million yuan in 2025, 683 million yuan in 2026, and 924 million yuan in 2027, indicating significant growth [2]. - The report highlights an improvement in gross margin, which increased by 3.23 percentage points year-on-year and 1.15 percentage points quarter-on-quarter in Q3 2025 [1]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company has a high market share in chlorinated pyridine herbicides, and the industry landscape is favorable for growth [2]. - The report notes that the current phase of destocking in overseas markets is nearing completion, which could positively impact pricing and profitability for the company [1][2]. - The company is actively working on several construction projects that are expected to elevate its production capacity and profitability in the coming years [2].