Starbucks(US:SBUX) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-10-29 09:33Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report explores the compatibility of the Indonesian ready-to-drink tea and coffee market with Chinese brands, highlighting opportunities and challenges for expansion [7][8] - Indonesia is a major producer and consumer of tea and coffee, ranking third in coffee production and seventh in tea production globally [9][10] - The ready-to-drink beverage market in Indonesia is experiencing significant growth, with a projected household consumption scale of approximately 270 trillion Indonesian Rupiah in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [11][12] Summary by Sections 1. Drinking Culture in Indonesia - Indonesia has a rich tea and coffee culture, being a leading producer of both beverages, with coffee production at approximately 760,000 tons in 2023 and tea production at about 125,000 tons in 2022 [9][10] - The tea and coffee markets in Indonesia have diversified significantly, with the entry of international brands like Starbucks and local innovations in beverage offerings [8][9] 2. Opportunities and Challenges for Chinese Tea and Coffee Brands in Indonesia - Opportunities include Indonesia's status as the largest economy in ASEAN, rapid GDP growth, and a young population with high consumption tendencies [33][34] - Challenges involve regional disparities, complex cultural and religious factors, and regulatory hurdles such as halal certification [33][34] 3. Localization as a Key to Brand Expansion and Sustainability - Localization strategies are essential for success, including adapting products to local tastes, understanding consumer behavior, and leveraging local supply chains [32][33] - Successful local brands like Chatime and Starbucks have established strong market positions through effective localization [32][33] 4. Analysis of Representative Local Tea and Coffee Chains - Chatime and Mixue are prominent players in the Indonesian tea market, while Starbucks dominates the high-end coffee segment [32][33] - Local brands like TOMORO are rapidly expanding by combining local insights with effective marketing strategies [32][33] 5. Market Dynamics and Consumer Behavior - The report highlights the increasing consumer preference for ready-to-drink beverages, with a notable rise in coffee consumption, projected to reach 1.02 kg per capita by 2024 [45][46] - The Indonesian market shows significant potential for growth in per capita consumption of tea and coffee, which remains below global averages [45][46]