华测导航（300627）：核心业务稳健向好，监测业务短期波动

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return that exceeds the market benchmark by over 20% in the next 6-12 months [3][7][11]. Core Insights - The company's core business remains stable and shows positive growth, while the monitoring business experiences short-term fluctuations. In Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 780 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, and a net profit of 170 million yuan, up 20% year-on-year. For the first three quarters, total revenue reached 2.62 billion yuan, a 15.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 490 million yuan, reflecting a 26.4% growth [1][2][3]. - The overseas market continues to grow rapidly, with products sold in over 100 countries and regions. The demand for displacement products in domestic disaster monitoring, water conservancy monitoring, and emergency scenarios is expected to recover, contributing to future growth [1][2]. - The company has implemented a third stock incentive plan, demonstrating confidence in its development. The plan includes performance assessment requirements based on net profit growth rates for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028 [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters was 60.4%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 19.6%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 alone, the gross margin and net margin reached 65.7% and 21.8%, respectively, marking the highest levels in five years [2][3]. - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2.678 billion yuan in 2023, 3.251 billion yuan in 2024, and 3.751 billion yuan in 2025, with growth rates of 19.8%, 21.4%, and 15.4% respectively. The net profit is expected to be 449 million yuan in 2023, growing to 583 million yuan in 2024, and 733 million yuan in 2025, with growth rates of 24.4%, 29.9%, and 25.7% respectively [5][10].