Jinduicheng Molybdenum (SH:601958) HTSC·2025-10-29 11:17Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2025 showed a revenue of 3.926 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.04% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 6.79%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 904 million RMB, with a year-over-year increase of 31.42% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 28.37%, attributed to the rising molybdenum prices [1][2] - The company is a leader in the molybdenum industry and is expected to benefit from the rising prices of molybdenum in the short term, alongside a consistent high dividend payout and share buybacks by major shareholders [1][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 10.885 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 7.80%, and a net profit of 2.286 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 4.17% [1] - In Q3 2025, the average price of domestic molybdenum concentrate rose significantly by 19.2% to 4,269 RMB per ton, which contributed to the company's improved profit margins [2] Resource Acquisition - The company increased its molybdenum resource reserves by acquiring a 24% stake in the Shapinggou Molybdenum Mine from Zijin Mining, which holds a total molybdenum resource of 2.1 million tons with an average grade of 0.187% [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the molybdenum price assumptions for 2025-2027, leading to an increase in the company's net profit forecast to 3.179 billion RMB, 3.285 billion RMB, and 3.400 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting increases of 7%, 6%, and 5% compared to previous estimates [4] - The target price for the company is set at 17.24 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.9X for 2026 [4]