MANGO(SZ:300413) Soochow Securities·2025-10-29 11:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a recovery in advertising revenue and the potential for high-quality content reserves to be realized [1] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecast for 2025 from 1.5 billion to 1.2 billion RMB due to underperformance in the advertising market and rigid content investment [8] - The company is expected to return to a growth trajectory in 2026, with net profit forecasts of 1.8 billion and 2.0 billion RMB for 2026 and 2027 respectively [8] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 9.06 billion RMB, a year-on-year decline of 12% [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 1.02 billion RMB, down 30% year-on-year [8] - The third quarter alone saw revenue of 3.1 billion RMB, a decrease of 6.6% year-on-year, while the core Mango TV business revenue remained stable with positive growth in advertising [8] Content Strategy and Development - The company announced over 80 major series and 70 variety shows at its autumn investment conference, indicating a strategic commitment to content development [8] - The quality of the series reserves has improved, with a focus on diverse genres including historical, urban, and suspense themes [8] - The variety show lineup aims to strengthen the ecological moat of the platform, with a focus on maintaining competitive advantages through popular IPs [8] Market Position and User Engagement - As of September 2025, the average monthly active users of Mango TV increased by approximately 11% year-on-year, with the platform's total user base reaching 750 million [8] - The report emphasizes the significant multi-platform synergy effects achieved through user engagement across different devices [8]