Winner Medical(SZ:300888) Guoxin Securities·2025-10-29 11:24Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][19]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in the third quarter, with revenue and profit accelerating. Revenue increased by 28% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders (excluding non-recurring items) grew by 51% [1][3]. - The company is benefiting from both external acquisitions and internal optimization, with a significant increase in revenue from surgical consumables due to the acquisition of GRI, which saw a year-on-year growth of 185.3% [2][19]. - The company is expected to maintain strong growth, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 1.01 billion, 1.17 billion, and 1.35 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 44.7%, 16.1%, and 15.5% respectively [3][20]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the third quarter, the company reported a revenue of 2.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.7%, and a net profit of 240 million yuan, up 42.1% year-on-year. The gross margin was 48.3%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points [1][2]. - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a revenue of 3.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.4%, with the third quarter alone contributing 1.39 billion yuan, up 47.2% [2][19]. Product and Market Dynamics - The acquisition of GRI has significantly boosted the company's overseas performance, with international revenue increasing by 81.7% to 2.18 billion yuan, accounting for 57% of the medical segment [2][19]. - The company has also optimized its product structure, with high-value, high-margin products becoming a key driver of organic growth. High-end dressings generated 720 million yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 26.2% [2][19]. Future Outlook - The company maintains a target price of 48-52 yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 24-26x for 2026, indicating confidence in continued strong performance [3][19]. - The company is expected to sustain a good dividend level supported by robust cash flow, reflecting its strong growth potential [3][19].