Huatong Meat(SZ:002840) Western Securities·2025-10-29 11:41Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company reported a slight loss in Q3 2025 due to low pig prices and a small decline in the number of pigs sold [3][4] - Revenue for Q1 to Q3 2025 was 608.8 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.13%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.1 million yuan, an increase of 32.93% year-on-year [2][6] - The average selling price of pigs decreased significantly in Q3 2025, impacting revenue and profit [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 184.4 million yuan and a net loss of 0.5 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 20.52% and 102.99% respectively [2][6] - The company's pig business generated revenue of 322.8 million yuan for Q1 to Q3 2025, down 10.64% year-on-year, with a total of 1.8741 million pigs sold, a decrease of 3.80% year-on-year [3] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q1 to Q3 2025 was 7.02%, while for Q3 2025 it was 6.44%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 4.18 percentage points [4] - The decline in gross margin in Q3 was attributed to the drop in pig prices outpacing the decrease in costs [4] Future Outlook - The company expects to see a recovery in pig sales volume as it has reduced the proportion of piglets sold and is focusing on improving fattening capacity utilization [3][4] - Profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are adjusted to 123 million yuan, 325 million yuan, and 558 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 73.1, 27.7, and 16.1 [4][5]