国能日新（301162）：功率预测业务持续高增，创新业务有望打开市场

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6] Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 36.97% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q1-Q3 2025, reaching 500 million yuan, and a 41.75% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 75 million yuan [2][4] - The company is positioned in the high-growth "AI + New Energy" sector, with the recent launch of the "Kuangming" New Energy Model 3.0, which enhances power prediction accuracy and identifies extreme weather conditions [3][4] - The company is expanding its ecosystem through strategic investments, which are expected to accelerate performance growth, particularly in the distributed power station segment [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 179 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.12%, and a net profit of 29 million yuan, up 59.13% [2][4] - The company’s sales net profit margin improved to 17.01%, an increase of 3.41 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are expected to be 131 million, 189 million, and 236 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 40.0%, 43.9%, and 24.9% respectively [4][5] Key Financial Data - Revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 754 million yuan, with a growth rate of 37.2% [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.99 yuan for 2025, increasing to 1.42 yuan in 2026 and 1.78 yuan in 2027 [5] - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 90.9 in 2023 to 32.5 by 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [5]