SANYUAN(SH:600429) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-29 12:14Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 4.87 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 10%, but achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 236 million yuan, a significant increase of 124.8% year-on-year [7] - The revenue for Q3 2025 was 1.54 billion yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.82% year-on-year, but the net profit for the same quarter was 53.14 million yuan, compared to a loss of 22.63 million yuan in the previous year [7] - The company is shifting its strategy from revenue-driven to profit-driven, focusing on internal reforms and efficiency improvements [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 7.127 billion yuan, with a projected year-on-year growth of 1.6% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 89 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 63.1% [6] - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve to 23.7% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 1.8% [6] Revenue and Profitability Trends - The company’s revenue decline has narrowed in Q3 2025, with a focus on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and fresh milk products [7] - The number of distributors has decreased by 1,640, indicating a strategic focus on key areas and product categories [7] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 18.7%, with a decrease of 2 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to cost pressures and product mix adjustments [7]