YDC(SH:605555) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-10-29 13:43Investment Rating - The investment rating for 德昌股份 is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company's revenue met expectations, but the performance was below expectations due to factors such as tariff friction and exchange rate losses affecting profit margins. However, the profitability showed recovery in Q3 2025, with a net profit of 62.47 million yuan after excluding exchange gains, representing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 105.32% [5] - The home appliance business saw a slowdown in growth, while the automotive parts business continued to grow significantly. The home appliance segment generated revenue of 1.743 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.02%, while the automotive parts segment achieved revenue of 281 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 89.86% [5] - The company is making progress in its core robotics joint business, collaborating with leading humanoid robot companies to develop core joint motors, with successful sample deliveries meeting customer requirements [5] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards to 375 million, 445 million, and 560 million yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year change of -9%, +19%, and +26% [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 4.489 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.6% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is estimated at 375 million yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.6% [2] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 15.7% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 11.5% [2] Market Data - As of October 29, 2025, the closing price of 德昌股份 is 19.35 yuan, with a market capitalization of 9.367 billion yuan [3] - The stock has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 25 for 2025 [5]