Shennong Group(SH:605296) Huaan Securities·2025-10-29 13:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company expects to achieve a total pig output of approximately 300,000 heads in 2025, with a complete cost of 12.5 yuan per kilogram as of September [2][4] - The company's revenue for the first nine months of 2025 was 3.92 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 462 million yuan, down 3.9% year-on-year [3][4] - The company has implemented cost control measures that have successfully reduced the complete cost of pig farming from 13.0 yuan per kilogram at the beginning of 2025 to 12.5 yuan per kilogram by September [5] Financial Performance Summary - For the first nine months of 2025, the company sold 2.11 million pigs, a year-on-year increase of 26.8%, with 1.82 million of those being market pigs, accounting for 86% of total output [4][5] - The company's quarterly revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 was 1.47 billion yuan, 1.33 billion yuan, and 1.13 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 36%, a decline of 6.1%, and a decline of 28.9% respectively [3] - The company’s net profit for Q1-Q3 2025 was 229 million yuan, 159 million yuan, and 74 million yuan [3] Future Projections - The company anticipates pig output of 300,000 heads for 2025, with projections of 300,000 heads for 2026 and 315,000 heads for 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of +32%, 0%, and +5% respectively [7] - Expected main business revenue for 2025-2027 is projected at 5.419 billion yuan, 5.426 billion yuan, and 5.712 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 482 million yuan, 542 million yuan, and 669 million yuan [7][9]