Winner Medical(SZ:300888) Guoxin Securities·2025-10-29 14:07Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][19]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong performance in the third quarter, with revenue growth of 28% year-on-year and a 51% increase in net profit attributable to the parent company. For the third quarter of 2025, revenue is expected to reach 2.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.7%, and net profit is projected at 240 million yuan, up 42.1% year-on-year [1][3]. - The growth is driven by both external acquisitions and internal optimization, with a significant increase in surgical consumables revenue due to the acquisition of GRI, which saw a year-on-year growth of 185.3% to 1.15 billion yuan. The company is also focusing on high-value, high-margin products, which are becoming a key support for organic growth [2][19]. - The company maintains a strong cash flow, supporting a good dividend level, and is expected to achieve net profits of 1.01 billion, 1.17 billion, and 1.35 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 44.7%, 16.1%, and 15.5% respectively [3][19]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the third quarter, the company achieved a gross margin of 48.3%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin attributable to the parent company increased by 1.3 percentage points to 8.4% [1][2]. - The company’s inventory increased by 9.3% year-on-year to 2.14 billion yuan, with inventory turnover days decreasing by 11 days to 136 days [1]. Revenue Breakdown - For the first three quarters, total revenue reached 3.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.4%. The third quarter alone is expected to contribute 1.39 billion yuan, up 47.2% year-on-year [2]. - The overseas revenue significantly improved, with a year-on-year increase of 81.7% to 2.18 billion yuan, accounting for 57% of the medical segment [2]. Product Performance - High-end dressings generated revenue of 720 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.2%, while health personal care products reached 360 million yuan, up 24.6% [2]. - The company’s consumer products, particularly the cotton sanitary napkins, showed strong growth, with revenue increasing by 19.1% to 4.01 billion yuan in the first three quarters [2].