爱美客（300896）：三季度业绩承压，后续关注新医美产品进展

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][5][12] Core Views - The company's overall performance in Q3 2025 was under pressure, with revenue of 566 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 21.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 304 million yuan, down 34.61% year-on-year. The first three quarters saw a revenue decline of 21.49% and a net profit drop of 31.05% [2][3] - The decline in performance is attributed to ongoing consumer spending pressures and intensified competition in the medical beauty industry. Additionally, the company is in a transitional phase with its product line, as traditional medical beauty products are experiencing weakened demand. Future focus will be on the development of new medical beauty products such as botulinum toxin and weight loss solutions [2][3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 93.19%, a decrease of 1.36 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by changes in product structure and increased industry competition. The company has maintained a commitment to R&D, with R&D expenses rising by 5.72% year-on-year to 14.3% of revenue [2][3] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1.564 billion, 1.794 billion, and 2.099 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a decrease from previous estimates. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 31.6, 27.5, and 23.5 times [3][12] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is expected to generate revenue of 2.598 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.13% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.564 billion yuan, down 20.10% year-on-year. The earnings per share are projected to be 5.18 yuan [4][14] - The company's EBIT margin is forecasted to be 68.37% for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 17.86% [4][14] - The company’s cash flow from operations for the first three quarters was 1.073 billion yuan, a decrease of 30.12% year-on-year, primarily due to the decline in net profit and changes in working capital [2][3]