Guobo Electronics (SH:688375) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-10-30 03:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][12]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 was 1.57 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 13.5%, with a net profit of 250 million, down 19.4% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 500 million, a decrease of 2.5% year-on-year and 30.9% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 46 million, down 26.0% year-on-year and 68.2% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. - The main business is under pressure, with revenue from T/R components and RF modules declining. The company recorded an asset and credit impairment loss of 47.14 million, impacting net profit [3]. - Despite the decline in profitability, the company maintains a gross margin of 36.0% in Q3 2025, which is within a reasonable range [3]. - The company is actively increasing production capacity, with inventory rising to 460 million, up 39.1% from Q2 2025, and construction in progress at 300 million, up 12.2% from Q2 2025 [3]. - The company has successfully mass-produced over 1 million silicon-based gallium nitride power amplifier chips, which are expected to provide a second growth curve by replacing existing products in the RF power amplifier market [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.57 billion, a decrease of 13.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 250 million, down 19.4% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, revenue was 500 million, a decrease of 2.5% year-on-year and 30.9% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 46 million, down 26.0% year-on-year and 68.2% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Operational Analysis - The main business is facing temporary pressure, with revenue from T/R components and RF modules decreasing. The company recorded an asset and credit impairment loss of 47.14 million, impacting net profit. The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 36.0%, down 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 9.2%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company is actively preparing for production and accelerating capacity expansion, with inventory at 460 million, up 39.1% from Q2 2025, and construction in progress at 300 million, up 12.2% from Q2 2025 [3]. - The company has achieved mass production of over 1 million silicon-based gallium nitride power amplifier chips, which are expected to enhance data transmission rates and reduce energy consumption in terminal applications [3]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is a leading domestic player in T/R components and RF modules, with a comprehensive product line and ongoing expansion and R&D investments expected to drive performance growth. The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is 504 million, 697 million, and 988 million, representing year-on-year growth of 4%, 38%, and 42%, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 81, 59, and 41 [4].