SHCI(SH:601225) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-10-30 03:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's performance exceeded expectations, with a third-quarter revenue of 40.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.075 billion yuan, down 20.34% year-on-year but up 79.08% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The coal business demonstrated resilience, while the electricity business showed significant growth in sales volume [2][3] - The company is expected to see a recovery in coal prices and growth in its electricity business, projecting net profits of 16 billion yuan, 18 billion yuan, and 19.3 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 13.6X, 12.1X, and 11.3X [3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company produced 13.037 million tons of coal, a year-on-year increase of 2.0%, and sold 18.920 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.4% [3] - The average coal price for the first three quarters was 540 yuan per ton, down 14.2% year-on-year, while the cost per ton was 376 yuan, down 6.8% year-on-year [3] - The total electricity generation for the first three quarters was 31.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year decrease of 2.8%, but the third quarter saw a significant increase in generation and sales volume, with 138 billion kWh generated and 130 billion kWh sold, up 52.6% and 53.1% respectively [3] Future Projections - The company aims to enhance its sustainable development capabilities by increasing coal production capacity, with a recent approval for an additional 2 million tons at the Yuandatan coal mine [3] - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 144.956 billion yuan, 152.278 billion yuan, and 157.445 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of -21.3%, 5.1%, and 3.4% [9]